A new report has potentially shed some light on what Benedict Cumberbatch’s Doctor Strange role will be up to during the events of Avengers: Doomsday. What will Doctor Strange reportedly be up to in ...
A new technique transforms any computer vision model into one that can explain its predictions using a set of concepts a human could understand. The method generates more appropriate concepts that boost the accuracy of the model.
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An annual forecasting tradition What started as Scott Alexander publishing annual predictions on Slate Star Codex and later Astral Codex Ten has evolved into a vibrant forecasting community tradition. This contest offers both seasoned and aspiring forecasters a chance to refine their skills while tracking current events through a predictive lens. For 2025, Scott Alexander has once again ...
FutureEval measures the ability of AI agents to predict future outcomes, in Science, Technology, Health, Geopolitics, AI itself, and more. Forecasting is a key skill in many real-world tasks, enabling planning, risk assessment, and decision-making. Learn more Metaculus Platform 3.2M+ predictions, 12 years, 22k questions
Metaculus and Bridgewater Associates are partnering again on a unique forecasting competition. Starting January 12, forecasters of all experience levels can share their predictions across a variety of questions. The most accurate forecasters will be eligible for $30,000 in prizes and potential opportunities with Bridgewater. Last competition, multiple offers were made to the top forecasters ...
We're again hosting Scott Alexander’s annual forecasting contest! And this year we're expanding the prize pool from $2,500 to $10,000. Make your predictions in the ACX 2025 Prediction Contest before January 31st on questions like: Will the US government release additional Epstein documents in 2025? Will a commercially available AI be able to order you a Starbucks delivery in 2025? Will an ...
Forecasting can help ground our thinking about the effects of the new administration, quantifying which hopes and fears deserve our attention—and which are merely fantasy. The POTUS Predictions Tournament aims to bring greater clarity to these discussions by translating competing narratives into measurable forecasts.
Vox's Future Perfect spotlights long-term thinking and evidence-based strategies for improving human and animal welfare. Each year, its writers forecast the coming year and assess their previous predictions. This year, Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect on their 2025 forecasts. On January 1st, they will publish their predictions on the questions below. You can join them ...
Welcome to the Metaculus Cup! Forecasting novices and veterans are invited to make predictions on new topical questions each week while competing for $5,000 in prizes. New this season: the Community Prediction will go head-to-head against Nathan Young, a seasoned forecaster and one of the field's most vocal advocates. Beat Nathan and an additional $2,500 gets added to the forecasting prize pool.
Each year, Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews, Kelsey Piper, and Sigal Samuel forecast the year to come and evaluate their previous predictions. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect on their 2025 forecasts. On January 1st, they'll publish their forecasts.
Just before the new year, I made some bold predictions about how artificial intelligence will change the accounting landscape in the next five years. That piece sparked many subsequent conversations ...
Hello everybody, this time I have a question about grammar: My grammar book (Murphy) states that after the verb 'to suggest' you should use "should" or the subjunctive form (that is no conjugation of the third person singular). For example: I suggest that he should work harder to succeed. I...
Thanks! Do you mean that "indicate" means "suggest" only when the subject is something instead of somebody? For example, The accident well indicated his laziness. By the way, can I also say "Do you suggest my being lazy"?
Penn State has developed a nice track record of producing NFL tight ends in recent years. Recent tight-end products have included Mike Gesicki and Pat Freiermuth, and Brenton Strange looks to follow ...
Sports Illustrated: Where Jaguars' Brenton Strange Finds Himself in TE Hierarchy After 2025
JACKSONVILLE, Fla. -- Jacksonville Jaguars tight end Brenton Strange has clearly arrived, and the proof is in his 2025 season. In his first season as a full-time starter since the Jaguars drafted him ...
Job hunting has changed drastically over the past decade. While networking is still important, searching healthcare professional websites and using job boards is now essential to finding your new role ...
GQ South Africa: Hired for one role, but doing three? This is the job description crisis
For a long time, the job description felt like a fixed agreement. It set out what a role involved, where its boundaries lay, and what both employer and employee could expect. It was, at least in ...